THE OTTERLINE

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The Lab

Model consensus, value spots, performance tracking, and experimental signals — all in one place.

0NHL games
0NBA games
0Power Plays
0Sniper

Today's Recommended Plays

Sniper · Vector 4 · Value spots

Sniper Mode

3/3 model agree + MoneyPuck confirms. Elite sniper tier only.

No sniper picks today. Check Vector-3 on NHL Consensus.

Signal Summary

Stream

Slate and top combo win rates.

0

NHL

0

NBA

0

Combos

Top combos

  • otterline_+_moneypuck_+_cbs_+_dunkel75%
  • otterline_+_chattyline_+_moneypuck_+_cbs63%
  • chattyline_+_moneypuck_+_cbs_+_dunkel62%

Vector 4 Tiers

Full board →

NHL consensus by agreement level (4 models).

4/4 Elite56 · 33-23 (59%)
3/4 Verified62 · 29-33 (47%)
2/4 Strong425 · 238-187 (56%)
0-1 Lean1 · 0-1 (0%)

Today at a glance

Key counts for 2026-06-14.

0

NHL

0

NBA

0

Sniper

0

Power

0

Value

0

3/4

Platinum Picks V2

60%+ combo win rate, 30+ sample size. Latest slate: 2026-08-01.

No Platinum picks logged for 2026-08-01.

Daily Dog

Underdog-focused model edges. Showing latest available slate (2026-08-01).

No Daily Dog picks logged for 2026-08-01.

Otter Edge

Power Plays + 70+ AI rating + 40–59% market odds. 2026-08-01 slate.

No Otter Edge picks for 2026-08-01.

Verified Juice

10%+ edge where combo win rate beats market odds. 2026-08-01 slate.

No Verified Juice picks for 2026-08-01.
Vector‑4 Decision Model0 games
0-0

Weighted scoring across MP, CB, OL, and CL. Tiering is based on total score.

No games available for 2026-08-01.

Strategic Advantages

Edges · divergences · situational spots

Dissenter Watch

Consensus

3/4 consensus; who disagreed.

No 3/4 games. Full agreement or no slate.

Confidence Spread

Consensus

Wide model confidence gap.

None.

Situational Dog

Rest, momentum, and form-based dog signals. Latest slate: 2026-08-01.

No qualified signals for 2026-08-01 (score ≥ 2).

Upset Tracker

Upset kings, vulnerable favorites, and live fades for 2026-08-01.

Upset Kings

No teams with 3+ underdog games.

Vulnerable Favorites

No favorites with 3+ losses yet.

Live Signals

No live upset signals today.

Contrarian Call

0-0 (0%)

MP/CBS dissents vs 4+ model consensus. 2026-08-01 slate.

No contrarian calls today.

Home Ice + Smart Money

13-6 (68%)

Home consensus with MP + CBS aligned (4+ models). 2026-08-01 slate.

No home-ice smart money picks today.

Situational Edge

Contextual edge patterns for 2026-08-01.

No situational edges detected today.

Performance Tracking

Records · head-to-head · confidence buckets

Vector Showdown: V2 vs V3 vs V4

Track which vector build is actually converting the best tiers.

Since 2026-02-03

Consensus

Standard model agreement baseline.

Baseline

Overall

207-15657%
graded
4/4 Agree0-0
3/4 Agree0-0

Vector-2

2-model core using MP and OL only.

Overall

0-0
graded
Elite0-0
Verified0-0
Strong0-0
Lean0-0

Vector-3

3-model build with heavier Moneypuck influence.

Overall

0-0
graded
Elite0-0
Verified0-0
Strong0-0
Lean0-0

Vector-4

4-model balanced version with full agreement spread.

Overall

0-0
graded
Elite0-0
Verified0-0
Strong0-0
Lean0-0

Head-to-Head

Direct disagreements between Vector-3 and Vector-4.

0

V3 Wins

0

V4 Wins

0

Pending

Record Tracker
484-388 (56%)
Sniper Mode0-0 (0%)

3/3 Consensus + MP 55-63%

Vector-3 Overall0-0 (0%)

3-Model Core: MP + CB + OL

V3 Elite0-0 (0%)

Vector-3 Elite tier (7.0+ score)

V3 Verified0-0 (0%)

Vector-3 Verified tier (6.0-6.9 score)

V3 Strong0-0 (0%)

Vector-3 Strong tier (4.5-5.9 score)

V3 Lean0-0 (0%)

Vector-3 Lean tier (3.0-4.4 score)

Platinum V20-0 (0%)

4-step filter: WR + Situational + Momentum + Signals

Platinum Fades0-0 (0%)

Signal conflicts we correctly faded

Diamond Edge64-55 (54%)

55%+ combo WR + underdog value

Power Plays22-16 (58%)

2+ consensus with 56%+ combo WR

Value Edge11-8 (58%)

Underdog picks with model confluence

Consensus Overall300-243 (55%)

All games with a consensus pick

Combo Watch0-0 (0%)

Best historical combo for each game

Best Model: MP87-66 (57%)

Highest win rate individual model

NHL 1.5 Protection Tracker

Score-margin study across all graded NHL consensus picks. Shows how many losses would have been saved by one-goal protection.

5 graded

Overall

50% of all NHL consensus losses were recoverable with 1-goal protection.

+0.0 pts

Moneyline

3-2 (60.0%)

Protected 1.5

3-2 (60.0%)

Recovered losses

0 (0.0% of losses)

OT/SO saved

0

Elite

Recovered 0 losses · 0 OT/SO

+0.0 pts

Moneyline

0-0 (0.0%)

Protected 1.5

0-0 (0.0%)

Strong

Recovered 0 losses · 0 OT/SO

+0.0 pts

Moneyline

0-0 (0.0%)

Protected 1.5

0-0 (0.0%)

Lean

Recovered 0 losses · 0 OT/SO

+0.0 pts

Moneyline

3-2 (60.0%)

Protected 1.5

3-2 (60.0%)

This is a diagnostic layer, not a full tradable spread model. Favorites do not have a real `+1.5` equivalent in market terms.

Best Combo Picks

Performance

Today picks from top model combos.

No combo picks today.

NHL Full Slate

Full board

All games today with consensus pick.

No NHL games today.

AI Confidence Tracker

30-21

Confidence bucket hit rates across Chattyline, Otterline, and MP.

Chattyline
58.8%(51)
80-100%4-2 (66.7%)
70-79%5-4 (55.6%)
60-69%12-7 (63.2%)
50-59%9-8 (52.9%)
Otterline AI
0.0%(0)
80-100%
70-79%
60-69%
50-59%
MoneyPuck
0.0%(0)
65-69%
60-64%
55-59%
50-54%

Blind Bet Tracker

0 games

Polymarket odds profitability snapshots.

Bet Every Game

No teams with 3+ games yet.

Fade Every Game

No teams with 3+ games yet.

Tools & Calibration

Odds calibration · shortcuts

Odds Calibration

Calibration Heatmap (Win Rate %)

Models<45%45-49%50-54%55-59%60%+
40%(0/1)50%(1/2)60%(12/20)63%(15/24)56%(23/41)
357%(4/7)64%(7/11)32%(7/22)58%(14/24)62%(8/13)
257%(4/7)43%(6/14)46%(6/13)63%(5/8)-
>60% 45-60% <45%
Active Edges

5 historical edge patterns

No edge spots today.

Active Fades

1 historical fade patterns

No fades today.

Top Combo Patterns
CBS+CL+MP69%

3 models · 55-59% · 9/13

CBS+CL+MP+OL63%

4 models · 55-59% · 15/24

CL+MP+OL63%

3 models · 50-54% · 5/8

CBS+CL+MP+OL60%

4 models · 50-54% · 12/20

CBS+CL+MP60%

3 models · 60%+ · 3/5

CL+MP+OL60%

3 models · 45-49% · 3/5

NBA Odds Calibration
Toggle

NBA consensus performance by implied probability bucket.

Models<45%45-49%50-54%55-59%60%+
3-----
2-----
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Not enough NBA data to build calibration map yet.

NBA

NBA Full Slate

Full board

All games today with consensus pick.

No NBA games today.